LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE TO LAND SURFACE CHANGE
CONTENTS CHAPTER 1: CLIMATE CHANGE: AN INTEGRATED PERSPECTIVE ENERGY BALANCE CLIMATE MODELS RADIATIVE-CONVECTIVE MODELS 33 GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS (GCMS) CHANGE 37 LIMITATIONS IN PRESENT CLIMATE MODELLING THE PRESENT NITROGEN CYCLE ANTHROPOGENIC DISTURBANCE OF THE GLOBAL NITROGEN CYCLE CONCLUSIONS 56 AGRICULTURE INTRODUCTION METHODS FOR INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT IA MODELLING HISTORY MODEL TYPOLOGY IA-CYCLE AGGREGATION VERSUS DISAGGREGATION TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY BLENDING QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE KNOWLEDGE CRITICAL METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES IN IA MODELLING IA MODELLING OF POPULATION AND HEALTH IA MODELLING OF CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOUR MULTI-AGENT MODELLING REGIONAL IA MODELLING THE NEXT GENERATIONS OF IA MODELS REFERENCES CHAPTER 8: PERSPECTIVES AND THE SUBJECTIVE DIMENSION IN MODELLING TYPES OF SCIENCE AND PROBLEMS THE USE OF SCIENCE BY POLICY MAKERS FROM SCIENTIFIC ISSUE TO POLITICAL AGENDA ITEM AN INTEGRATED SCIENCE-POLICY MODEL 93THE TECHNOCRATIC STAGE – I RESOLVING DOMESTIC ISSUES: THE STAKEHOLDER MODEL (III) INTERNATIONAL ISSUES: BEYOND THE STAKEHOLDER 931 REGIME FORMATION: A BRIEF HISTORY 932 DIFFERENT COUNTRY POSITIONS 933 THE NORTH-SOUTH ANGLE 934 THE CONSENSUS IN THE CLIMATE CONVENTION 935 INFORMATION SUFFICIENT FOR EUPHORIC NEGOTIATION APPROACH (IV) 96 CONCLUSION REFERENCES CHAPTER 10: EPILOGUE: SCIENTIFIC ADVICE IN THE WORLD OF POWER POLITICS THE FUNCTIONS OF SCIENCE IN POLITICS THE GAP BETWEEN POLICY MODELS AND POLICY IMPLEMENTATION THE RESEARCH ENTERPRISE ATTRACTS POWERFUL ALLIES THE UNITED NATIONS SEEK AN ENVIRONMENTAL ROLE ENERGY LOBBIES SEEK OPPORTUNITIES THREATENED NATIONAL BUREAUCRACIES ALSO SEEK SUSTAINABILITY 106 CONCLUSIONS: THE ENVIRONMENT IN GLOBAL POLITICS 107 QUESTIONS FOR FURTHER THOUGHT AND DISCUSSION REFERENCES