A MODEL STUDY OF AN ISOLATED NINE-SPOT
CONTENTS 1 POPULATION DYNAMICS OF FOREST INSECTS: OUTBREAKS IN FOREST ECOSYSTEMS 1 1 APPROACHES TO MODELING POPULATION DYNAMICS OF FOREST INSECTS 1 2 TH E ROLE OF INSECTS IN THE FOREST ECOSYSTEM 1 3 TH E PHENOMENOLOGICAL THEORY OF FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS: THE PRINCIPLE OF STABILITY OF FL EXIBLE ECOLOGICALSYSTEMS 1 4 CLASSIFI CATION OF THE FACTORS OF FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 1 5 DELAYED AND DIRECT REGULATION MECHANISMS 2 WAYS OF PRESENTING DATA ON FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 2 1 REPRESENTATION OF POPULATION DYNAMICS DATA 2 2 PRESENTING THE DATA ON FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS THROUGH CHANGES IN DENSITY OVER TIME 2 3 PRESENTING THE DATA ON POPULATIOZN DYNAMICS AS A PHASE PORTRAIT 2 4 TH E PROBABILITY OF THE POPULATION LEAVING THE STABILITY ZONE AND REACHING AN OUTBREAK DENSITY: A MODEL OF A ONE-DIMENSIONAL POTENTIAL WELL 2 5 PRESENTING THE DATA ON FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS AS A POTENTIAL FUNCTION 3 TH E EFF ECTS OF WEATHER FACTORS ON POPULATION DYNAMICS OF FOREST DEFOLIATING INSECTS 3 1 TH E NECESSARY AND SUFFI CIENT WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF OUTBREAKS OF DEFOLIATING INSECTS IN SIBERIA 3 2 WEATHER INFL UENCE ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PINE LOOPER BUPALUS PINIARIUS L OUTBREAKS 3 3 SIBERIAN SILK MOTH DENDROLIMUS SIBIRICUS TSCHETV POPULATION DYNAMICS AS RELATED TO WEATHER CONDITIONS 3 4 SYNCHRONIZATION OF WEATHER CONDITIONS ON VAST AREAS AS A FACTOR OF THE OCCURRENCE OF PAN-REGIONAL OUTBREAKS 4 SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL COHERENCE OF FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 4 1 COHERENCE AND SYNCHRONICITY OF POPULATION DYNAMICS 4 2 SPATIOTEMPORAL COHERENCE OF THE POPULATION DYNAMICS OF DEFOLIATING INSECTS IN PINE FORESTS OF MIDDLE SIBERIA 4 3 SPATIOTEMPORAL COHERENCE OF POPULATION DYNAMICS OF DEFOLIATING INSECTS IN THE ALPS 4 4 GLOBAL COHERENCE OF PINE LOOPER POPULATION DYNAMICS IN EURASIA 4 5 SYNCHRONIZATION OF THE TIME SERIES OF GYPSY MOTH POPULATION DYNAMICS IN THE SOUTH URALS 5 INTERACTIONS BETWEEN PHYTOPHAGOUS INSECTS AND TH EIR NATURAL ENEMIES AND POPULATION DYNAMICS OF PHYTOPHAGOUS INSECTS DURING OUTBREAKS 5 1 ENTOMOPHAGOUS ORGANISMS AS A REGULATING FACTOR IN FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 5 2 A “PHYTOPHAGOUS – ENTOMOPHAGOUS INSECT” MODEL 6 FOOD CONSUMPTION BY FOREST INSECTS 6 1 ENERGY BALANCE OF FOOD CONSUMPTION BY INSECTS: AN OPTIMIZATION MODEL 6 2 A POPULATION-ENERGY MODEL OF INSECT OUTBREAKS 7 AR- AND ADL-MODELS OF FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 7 1 AN ADL-MODEL (AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG) OF INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 7 2 A MODEL OF POPULATION DYNAMICS OF THE GYPSY MOTH IN THE SOUTH URALS 7 3 MODELING POPULATION DYNAMICS OF THE LARCH BUD MOTH IN THE ALPS 7 4 SIMULATION MODELS OF POPULATION DYNAMICS OF DEFOLIATING INSECTS IN THE KRASNOTURANSK PINE FOREST 7 5 MODELING AND PREDICTING POPULATION DYNAMICS OF THE EUROPEAN OAK LEAF-ROLLER 7 6 GAIN MARGIN OF THE AR-MODELS OF FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 8 MODELING OF POPULATION DYNAMICS AND OUTBREAKS OF FOREST INSECTS AS PHASE TRANSITIONS 8 1 MODELS OF PHASE TRANSITIONS FOR DESCRIBING CRITICAL EVENTS IN COMPLEX SYSTEMS 8 2 POPULATION BUILDUP AND DEVELOPMENT OF AN OUTBREAK OF FOREST INSECTS AS A FI RST-ORDER PHASE TRANSITION 8 3 POSSIBLE MECHANISMS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOREST INSECT OUTBREAKS 8 4 COLONIZATION OF THE TREE STANDS BY FOREST INSECTS AS A SECOND-ORDER PHASE TRANSITION 8 5 RISKS OF ELIMINATION OF THE POPULATION FROM THE COMMUNITY 9 FORECASTING POPULATION DYNAMICS AND ASSESSING THE RISK OF DAMAGE TO TREE STANDS CAUSED BY OUTBREAKS OF FOREST DEFOLIATING INSECTS 9 1 METHODS OF FORECASTING FOREST INSECT POPULATION DYNAMICS 9 2 LONG-TERM FORECAST OF POPULATION DYNAMICS OF DEFOLIATING INSECTS 9 3 ASSESSMENT OF THE MAXIMUM RISK OF DAMAGE TO TREE STANDS CAUSED BY INSECTS 9 4 MODELING AND FORECASTING OF EASTERN SPRUCE BUDWORM POPULATION DYNAMICS 10 GLOBAL WARMING AND RISKS OF FOREST INSECT OUTBREAKS 10 1 CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOREST INSECT OUTBREAKS IN THE SIBERIAN TAIGA 10 2 STRESS TESTING OF INSECT IMPACT ON FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER DIFF ERENT SCENARIOS OF CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE SIBERIAN TAIGA 10 3 RISKS OF OUTBREAKS OF FOREST INSECT SPECIES WITH THE STABLE TYPE OF POPULATION DYNAMICS CONCLUSION REFERENCES